What is Iran’s Next Political Move if the nuclear deal will fail?

Analysts and politicians are saying, that the Islamic Republic may be profoundly de-stabilize, if a framework agreement between Iran, together with six other major powers aimed at curbing the country’s delicate nuclear work, will not be finalize.

Iranians’ expectation to end its international segregation, have risen high to such an extent that failure to finalize it, could generate an alarming level of disappointment, that could hurt authorities, even if the West was depicted as the villain, analysts say.

Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace in Washington said, “If the deal doesn’t come to a completion, most Americans wouldn’t notice, but it will be devastating to most Iranians.”

A tentative deal, to curb Iran’s nuclear policy was reached Thursday in Lausanne, have revived hopes to end sanctions, in return for limitations of its atomic program, paving a way for international recognition and economic reforms.

On the other hand, the man whose opinion is valued above the most, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has remained quiet over the agreement, some conservatives have taken off their gloves.

The deal has amplified their anger over Rouhani’s 2013 presidential election pledge to improve revival of economy and foster better foreign relations.
Politicians and analysts say that when Khamenei approved “any steps taken” by the Iranian nuclear negotiators, the tension may abate if Khamenei lends his support.

The Revolutionary Guards (IRGC), commanding clerics and influential politicians, have united in supporting the nuclear deal, which was extoled by the president as a “historic opportunity” which will benefit everyone.

“Parliament has supported the deal,”speaker Ali Larijani said. While, Iran’s close ally to Khamene and military chief, General Hassan Firouzabadi, congratulated Khamenei on the “success” of Iran’s compromise and acknowledged Rouhani for the deal, the semi-official Fars news agency stated.

Critics, holding key positions in parliament, security forces and intelligence services are distrustful of any compromise agreement with the West as they fear it could imperil the Islamic Revolution.

Fars quoted Hossein Shariatmadari, editor of the hardline Kayhan daily and an adviser to Khamenei, as saying, “Iran has exchanged its saddled horse for one with a broken bridle.”

 

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