U.S. forecasters warned the public that the El Nino Phenomenon, the Pacific Ocean circulation Phenomenon, which is currently occurring right not will have no effect on the drought California and the western part of US is experiencing right now. Climate change has made matter worse and what residents can do right now is just wait until the climate change effect will loosen its grip in the coming days.
“El Nino may be getting too much credit for the rainfall” experts say. But it’s highly limited due to the warming of the planet.
“Regrettably, this El Nino is too little, too weak and too late to offer reprieve for the drought-stricken California, as the rainy season is nearing its end,” according to the deputy director of the Climate Prediction Center at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Mike Halpert .
Halpert made the statement when the NOAA, which runs the National Weather Service, announced that it had spotted a weak “El Niño” level to the atmospheric pressure in the tropical Pacific and cyclical oscillation of sea water temperature.
El Niño has carried more moisture toward Southern California in previous years, even though the extent of its effect on regional weather has been widely disputed.
Even though Residents from the Pacific Coast saw more storms in December and January, most of these tempests were not cold enough to give a substantial impact to the snowpack in the Sierra Nevada and other western ranges — the most critical element of long-term water supply, Halpert noted.
“Just last year even if December was very wet it was also very warm”, Halpert said. So even if the snow levels was very high, it really didn’t help much. At this point, it might be high time to “pack up the skis and hope for a better season next year,” Halpert quipped.
There was a 50%-60% chance that El Niño would continue into the summer the agency stated.
“Maybe there’s some hope that this El Nino will persist and impact the next rainy season, but I suspect for this year it’s too late to hope for”, Halpert said.
For months, NOAA had been noting a rising ocean surface temperature in areas of the equatorial Pacific for months, a forerunner of the El Niño Southern Oscillation said. But it was not escorted by increased convection in the lower atmosphere, typically creating thunderstorms and abating surface trade winds, according to NOAA.
Although there were some localized precipitation anomalies during the early winter — the Northeast’s snowstorms among them — they did not fit the pattern of an El Niño effect, according to the agency. A strong El Niño often brings above-average rainfall across Mexico and the southern U.S., extending into parts of the Midwest and into New England, according to NOAA.
Japanese climate officials they predicts a weak El Nino in mid- December.